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Polymarket: Odds of India invading Pakistan rose to 41%

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The odds of India invading Pakistan rose to 41% on crypto betting platform Polymarket today as Pakistan’s defence minister declared military incursion from India was “imminent.” Reuters reported today that Pakistan’s defence minister Khawaja Muhammad Asif claimed, “We have reinforced our forces because it is something which is imminent now.” On Polymarket, the chances of the invasion subsequently shot up to 41%. It currently stands at around 37%. Last week, in the Indian-administered region of Kashmir, a gunman shot 26 tourists, an incident that India claims was the work of militants supported by Pakistan. However, it hasn’t named the group.  Since then, India has reportedly demolished the houses of alleged militants and detained 1,500 people in the region . Pakistan denies any role in the attack and, along with China, has called for a “neutral investigation” into the matter.  Read more: The Vatican isn’t excommunicating crypto gamblers Polymarket claims the be...